Suzukaze:
Waiting on Suzukaze's band of misfits to get dragged into this somehow...
I've assumed you were silently accompanying the group that Imp is leading. You were invited to the Vegas meeting(Post 268 in full circle said all the old utopia members + dragon, and you predate him on the team). Or, if you want you can be with Sol's group. Either way.
Imp, I think some version of #2 and #3 are most likely. #1 is possible, even with powers, but highly unlikely. Especially with Impetus making the populace like his version of events better. Sol's idea of disenchanted T2Mers away from Utopia is also pretty likely, at least a few anyway. #4 is unlikely on the grand scale, since this will make the aberrant war more likely, but on the short term you are all rich enough that you probably don't even care.
Speaking of, Kraken should take the Wealth Beyond Avarice bg enhancement from Adventure!