Re: US Politics II--return of the shouting
In reply to spoonk (msg #550):
I'm not sure what to make of it yet, to be honest. On the one hand, it seems entirely superfluous, bound to gridlock, set up to be full of partisan theatre, and unlikely to accomplish much. On the other, the "trigger" items themselves, while undesirable politically for both parties are probably things that we should be doing anyway, and this may be the only way to get the parties to "agree" to do the hard cutting (by making it look like its the result of them not agreeing to do so). It think the cuts will come at a bad time for the economy, and the focus on cutting now (rather than jobs) is a bad idea, but if we accept for the moment that congress has made the call to focus on cuts instead of the economy, this may be more likely to end up with successful cuts than any other method (because they can actually succeed in producing cuts by failing to come to an agreement in this case).
I expect republicans will try to "take hostages" again (I tried to avoid that terminology before, but they seem to have adopted it themselves, so no need to avoid that particular politically loaded terminology anymore, I guess), and I'm worried dems will roll over and give them everything they want again, but at least this time if they don't it doesn't ruin the global economy, it just forces both sides to accept tough (but probably necessary in the long run) cuts.
It won't be pleasant to watch, but I'm withholding judgement on just how bad it will be for the time being. The question isn't really whether it will produce something bad (it probably will), but whether it will produce something better or worse than congress could do without the supercommittee, and on that I'm not yet sure.