In reply to Titus Blackwell (msg # 157):
Reposting this math I did. Here's the math behind figuring your odds of getting a SPECIFIC pair of a certain minimum height:
Chance of Rolling 1 Pair of Any Given Minimum Height
| 1D | 2D | 3D | 4D | 5D | 6D | 7D | 8D | 9D | 10D |
H1 | 0 | 10% | 28% | 50% | 70% | 85% | 94% | 98% | 99.6% | 99.9% |
H2 | 0 | 9% | 25% | 45% | 64% | 79% | 90% | 95% | 98% | 99.4% |
H3 | 0 | 8% | 22% | 40% | 58% | 73% | 84% | 91% | 96% | 98% |
H4 | 0 | 7% | 20% | 35% | 52% | 66% | 78% | 86% | 92% | 95% |
H5 | 0 | 6% | 17% | 30% | 45% | 59% | 70% | 79% | 86% | 91% |
H6 | 0 | 5% | 14% | 26% | 38% | 50% | 62% | 71% | 79% | 85% |
H7 | 0 | 4% | 11% | 21% | 31% | 42% | 52% | 61% | 69% | 76% |
H8 | 0 | 3% | 8% | 16% | 24% | 32% | 41% | 49% | 57% | 64% |
H9 | 0 | 2% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 22% | 29% | 35% | 41% | 47% |
H10 | 0 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 15% | 19% | 23% | 26% |
I've colored in red the point at which the chance of getting at least a certain height exceeds 50%. The top line (minimum height of 1) can also be seen as the chance of getting any match at all, which makes it perhaps the most useful at a cursory glance.
Example on reading the chart: If you're rolling 4D, you have a 50% chance of getting any pair at all (that's the top row across the board, really), a 26% chance of rolling a pair with a height between 1-6, and a 5% chance of that pair being exactly 10.
So with Brains/Medicine of 5D, you have about a 70% chance of a basic success. That's not great, but it's not bad either!
This message was last edited by the player at 19:13, Tue 06 Jan 2015.